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☆ Opinion: We could be witnessing the Republican Party break apart in real time
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( Thomas Balcerski | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Historically, political realignment has occurred when groups of voters change their affiliation to a new political party or candidate, especially around presidential and midterm elections. Yet the period between 1852 and 1860 is crucial here, for it saw the last time a major political party collapsed (the Whig Party in 1854) and the dissolution of another political party (the Democratic Party in 1860). The 1924 Democratic Party famously went through 103 ballots before agreeing on a compromise candidate, John W. Davis of West Virginia. Of course, party realignment is a tricky thing since we only come to know that it has happened in hindsight. A failure to reach a majority consensus signals the doom of an American political party.

Persons: Thomas Balcerski, James Buchanan, William Rufus King ”, Hakeem Jeffries, Patrick McHenry, let’s, V.O, Abraham Lincoln’s, Franklin D, Thomas Jefferson, John Adams, Andrew Jackson, Daniel Webster, Henry Clay, Lincoln, William Henry Seward, William L, Yancey, Stephen Douglas of, John C, Breckinridge, Theodore Roosevelt, Moose, Republican William Howard Taft, Woodrow Wilson, John W, Davis of, Hubert H, Humphrey, Republican Richard Nixon, “ Organizations: Eastern Connecticut State University, Oxford University Press, CNN, Republican Party, Democratic Party, Whig Party, Whigs, Republican Party . Southern Whigs, American Party, Democrats, Whig, Union, Democratic, Southern, Lincoln, splintering, Republican, GOP Locations: United States, Northern, Southern, Kansas, Nebraska, Charleston , South Carolina, Alabama, Baltimore, Stephen Douglas of Illinois, Kentucky, Davis of West Virginia, Vietnam, American

At least eight Georgia Republican electors present that day have agreed to testify in exchange for immunity from state charges. The meeting was led by David Shafer, then chairman of the Georgia Republican Party. But halfway through the meeting, Shafer noted that Still’s name was printed as the secretary on documents. A Georgia Republican Party website raising money to defend electors calls them “patriots who served." Lawyers for the indicted electors argue it was up to Congress to determine which slates should be counted.

Persons: Donald Trump, “, Trump —, Robert Sinners, Trump, Joe Biden's, Kenneth Chesebro, Biden, David Shafer, Shafer, Fulton, Shawn Still, wasn't, ” Shafer, Cathy Latham, State Sen, Burt Jones, John Isakson Jr, Sen, Johnny Isakson, Isakson, Brian Kemp’s, Mike Pence, they’ve, Anna Cross, Latham, Ray Smith, Republican Richard Nixon, John F, Kennedy, Todd Zywicki, Fani Willis, ” Willis ’, Shafer’s, Willis ’, ”, Brad Raffensperger, hasn't, Willis Organizations: ATLANTA, Georgia Capitol, Trump, Associated Press, Georgia Republican, Georgia Republican Party, Republicans, State, Republican U.S, Atlanta, ”, Republican, U.S, Senate, George Mason University, Georgia Republicans, Hawaii Democrats, Georgia, U.S . House Locations: Georgia, Fulton County, Georgia's Coffee County, Alabama, Hawaii, Virginia

ATLANTA (AP) — Lawyers for three Georgia Republicans, who falsely claimed that Donald Trump won the state and they were “duly elected and qualified” electors, are set to argue Wednesday that criminal charges against them should be moved from state to federal court. Shafer, Still and Latham have all indicated in court filings that they will not be present in court for the hearing. If their cases are moved to federal court, a jury would be drawn from a broader and potentially less Democratic pool than in Fulton County alone. Prosecutors allege that Shafer, Still, Latham — and the other Georgia Republicans who participated in that plan — “falsely impersonated” electors. They argued in court filings that “contingent electors” are not presidential electors — either the contingency is met and they become presidential electors or it is not met and the losing candidate's electors have no role.

Persons: Donald Trump, “, David Shafer, Shawn Still, Cathy Latham, Trump, Democrat Joe Biden, Steve Jones, Shafer, Latham, Jones, Mark Meadows, Jeffrey Clark, he’s, Latham —, — “, ”, Republican Richard Nixon, Democrat John F, Kennedy, Nixon, uncertified, Still, Fani Willis, — Organizations: ATLANTA, —, Georgia Republicans, Republican, Democrat, U.S, District, Fulton County Superior Court, Trump White House, U.S . Justice, Trump, Electoral, Georgia Capitol, U.S . Senate, National Archives, Prosecutors, Capitol, Georgia Republican Party, Coffee County Republican Party, Republican Party, Constitution, Act Locations: Fulton County, Georgia, Atlanta, Hawaii, Atlanta’s suburbs, U.S, Coffee County

☆ The 2024 Senate map just got even more difficult for Democrats
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-10 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Sinema’s interests are no longer necessarily the Democrats’ best interests in the next Congress, and the 2024 Senate map became even more complicated for Democrats with Sinema’s decision. The Democrats who run against independent Sen. Angus King in Maine have not gained traction in recent elections. Having two people in the race who are going to caucus with the Democratic Party likely makes it more difficult for the Democrats to win. All that said, the Democrats already have a difficult map heading into 2024. With Sinema’s break from the Democratic party, the road is, if nothing else, curvier for Democrats.

If the Democrats lose badly, I think you may see a fairly strong push for Biden to take himself out of 2024." None of the three would run against Biden in a primary, and they may defer to Harris, too, sources say. A senior Democrat said Newsom "has told people he won’t run against Biden" or Harris. Any Democratic primary contest would weaken the party's financial firepower in 2024, which could seen spending jump again, campaign finance experts believe. “I think the Democratic party and the White House should not presume you need to run the same presidential candidate again to hold the White House,” Suri said.

If the Democrats lose badly, I think you may see a fairly strong push for Biden to take himself out of 2024." None of the three would run against Biden in a primary, and they may defer to Harris, too, the sources said. A senior Democrat said Newsom "has told people he won't run against Biden" or Harris. Any Democratic primary contest would weaken the party's financial firepower in 2024, which could see spending jump again, campaign finance experts believe. "I think the Democratic party and the White House should not presume you need to run the same presidential candidate again to hold the White House," Suri said.

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